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WEEK 7 ESSENTIALS: PATRIOTS VS. JETS

10/21/2019

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A month ago the Luke Falk led Jets came into Foxboro and left with a 30-14 loss.  The Patriots didn't cover the spread and they gave up two touchdowns.  With the team now heading into enemy territory without Josh Gordon or Rex Burkhead, should we be worried? No.  What about the fact that Sam Darnold is now back under center, should that make us worry?  No.
The only reason I am the least bit worried about this game is because I am barely leading my fantasy matchup this week.  Since I have James White left to play while my opponent has the Jets' defense, it's purely a fantasy issue and nothing else.

DEFENSE- Yes, the Jets' offense should be better than they were last time we played.  Of course, last time they had a total of 105 yards from scrimmage.  It would be pretty hard to not improve from that.   Of course the Patriots' defense is still healthy (knock on wood) and still playing like world beaters. 
Through 6 weeks the Patriots' defense:
  • giving up 17.06 yards per drive
  • .205 turnovers per drive
  • 4.4 plays per drive
  • .35 points per drive
  • . 038 touchdowns per drive
  • .256 3 and outs per drive
  • .137 3rd down conversion rate 
  • .128 3rd down conversion rate away   
ROOKIE ERRORS- The only thing the Patriots need to do tonight is protect the ball.  Those 14 points that the team gave up all came on bad decisions made by rookies being rookies.  The first touchdown came on Gunner's muffed punt.  The second came on Stidham making a bad decision.  The Patriots' defense actually had their second shutout in as many weeks, but mistakes were made by the young guys.  

OFFENSE- The offense may not have as many weapons as they would like, but they definitely have enough to put up some points on the Jets.  Last week we saw Gunner and Jakobi gain some trust from the man himself.  Hopefully, they are still making gains on the practice field.  Another positive addition to the roster is Ben Watson.  Watson may not be the most athletic guy on the field at 38, but he certainly will not blow his assignment when it comes to blocking.  He also runs the routes as they are intended and doesn't let the guys covering him be in position to help out.  Tonight's weather forecast looks perfect for whatever offense Josh draws up.  The fact that the Jets' defense is letting teams convert third downs on almost half of their opportunities at home gives me some added confidence that we'll be alright.  The fact that Tom Brady may be a little pissed off at people because of the Netflix appearance makes me think he might go off.
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