Whether you look at points given up per game (10.8) or total yards (249.9), the Patriots' defense is number one. While the team is still light years ahead of everyone else with a turnover margin of +1.8 per game, their takeaways per game has dipped a bit since September. Playing at home for the first time in almost a month should be just what the doctor ordered. Looking at Dak's record, there is a huge difference when he throws at least one interception. For the regular season Prescott is 30-6 when he doesn't throw a pick. With one interception his record drops to 6-6 and with more than one he's 2-8. Surely, the Patriots are good for at least one interception in the first half, let alone the typical close out by Harmon to seal the deal.
THIRD DOWN CONVERSIONS-While I am predicting a Patriots win, sometimes it might not be so pretty. Getting the Cowboys off the field isn't an easy task. They are successful on 52.07% of their 3rd down conversion attempts. They are also tops in the the NFL with 3rd and long as they are 19 for 46. While they have given up some 3rd down conversions of late, the Patriots are still tops in the NFL with only allowing conversions 19.33% of the time.