Last Monday the Red Sox were looking great and doing exactly what they needed to do heading out of the All-Star break. After sweeping the Royals at home, the team headed to Canada to start off a two city, seven game road trip. Monday night the offense looked the best it has all season as they scored 14 runs and moved within 7.5 games of Baltimore and 3.5 games of New York and Toronto.
With two AL East teams on their schedule, the Red Sox had a real chance of getting themselves into a good place heading into the last week of July. Unfortunately, as has been typical this season, it was another lost opportunity. Of the six remaining games of the road trip, the Red Sox would win only one game. They would manage to score a total of 14 runs and get shut out twice (11th of the season).
To make matters worse, the other AL East teams went a combined 17-6 and all managed to have winning records last week. In other words, pretty much a worst case scenario for the Red Sox. If you look at the chart below you can see each teams postseason probabilities according to Baseball Prospectus.
Now, while the Red Sox are not completely out of it at this point, they need to take care of business this week at home and sweep both the Blue Jays and Yankees and get some help from the Angels, Brewers, Mariners and Astros.
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