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PATRIOT'S PREVIEW WEEK 11: BUFFALO

11/23/2015

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It's Monday night and the Patriots have the Rex Ryan coached Buffalo Bills on tap.  According to Vegas, the Patriots are only favored by 7.5.  A Monday night game, at the end of November, against the Bills, my money is on the Patriots.  Yes, the offense will look different without Julian Edelman and Dion Lewis, and the defense is still without out Jamie Collins, but I'm still feeling the Patriots will put the hurt on Bills. 
While I do think the game may start a little slow with either a quick let up by the Patriots' defense or maybe some adjustment time needed by Tom Brady and the offense, I feel that Ole Rexy is going to pull a Pagano and take his team out of it with a boneheaded play. 

Offensively, I'm expecting some big plays by Gronk.  Hopefully, he doesn't have points or yards taken back for a ridiculous offensive pass interference call.  As of now the Patriots are in the lead with 8 offensive pass interference calls.   Next closest are Atlanta and Washington with only 4 (both have played one more game than the Patriots).

Playing the Bills at home, the Patriots should expect to maybe have a call or two go their way.  At the very least, they hopefully don't have to play 11 on 16 like they did last week.  While looking up penalty statistics, I ran into a few gems regarding the Bills.

Penalty                                    #       League Average
Offensive Holding                  20         14.09
Defensive Pass Int.               8             4.78
Unnecessary Roughness      6             4.47
Delay of Game                      4              2.88
Personal Foul                        4             .25
Unsportsmanlike Conduct     4              1.5
Facemask (15 yd.)                3             1.72
Chop Block                            2            .38
Taunting                                 2           .47

I assume the Patriots are ready for the idiotic plays and cheap shots a typical Rex Ryan team will be guilty of.  Hopefully, no one retaliates or gets injured because of it.
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In addition to getting a healthy dose of Gronk, Rex Ryan should leave Foxboro knowing a few more names from the Patriots' roster.  I'm predicting a combination of Brandon Lafell, Chris Harper and Matthew Slater combining for 150+ yards.  LeGarrette Blount will pound the ball and have a few big runs, I'm expecting 130 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Defensively I'm expecting the Patriots to come away with at least 2 touchdowns to go along with Chandler Jones' 2 sacks. Silly Rex will probably take chances because the secondary had some issues last week, as usual he'll forget that the Patriots don't typically make the same errors twice in a season, let alone twice in a row.   

Special teams will once again be dominated by the Patriots.  Gostkowski will once again be perfect and Ryan Allen will pin his only punt of the evening inside the 10. 
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